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First and Thirty
First and Thirty

FIRST AND THIRTY

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  • First and Thirty
    First and Thirty

    FIRST AND THIRTY

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  • First and Thirty
    • Estimation Results of Bootstrap

      Through Week 12. The below statistics are my primary mechanism for evaluating our wager results. By randomly sampling our actual results with replacement, we can estimate the probability that our betting approach is profitable over the long run. The statistics here assume standard vigorish (-110 lines).

      P1

      -11.4%

      P5

      -7.1%

      Q1

      -0.1%

      Estimate

      3.3%

      Q3

      7.7%

      P95

      14.1%

      P99

      18.6%

      SD

      6.4%

      IQR

      8.6%

      Sample Size

      220 Wagers

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