First and Thirty
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FIRST AND THIRTY

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    Prop Bets: Week 1 2022

    · Brady,Prop Bets,Week 1 2022

    Sorry for the late post here. Though prop lines don't come out till later in the week, we should have these out by Friday afternoon going forward. All lines are validated via this site. Here are some lines that I think still have value:

    Sunday 1PM Slate

    Michael Carter o33.5 rushing yards -115 (BetMGM): I think Breece Hall will eventually force his way into more carries than Carter, but for now, Carter still has a role. This number is simply too low vs Carter's 45.7 projection

    Mecole Hardman u3.5 receptions +110 (FanDuel): Hardman is projected right at 3.5.

    Ja'Marr Chase o70.5 receiving yards -115 (BetMGM): Playing against a bad Steelers secondary, Chase's projection is at 87. 

    Jacoby Brissett o200.5 passing yards -110 (FanDuel): Brissett is projected at 223 yards against a bad Panthers defense.

    Trey Lance o190.5 passing yards -120 (PointBet): This number is simply too low, Lance is projected at 221.8 yards.

    Sunday 4PM Slate

    Aaron Jones u4.5 receptions +125 (DraftKings): Readers from last year know this is my favorite type of prop, unders with dog odds. Yes, Jones is arguably the best receiver on the Packers, but he is projected at 4.1 receptions.

    KJ Osborn u37.5 receiving yards -110 (FanDuel): Osborn is projected at 34.5 and playing a very stingy Packers defense that incldues an exceptional secondary. 

    Sunday Night Football

    Tom Brady u0.5 interceptions +105 (DraftKings): Brady's 12 interceptions last season was more than it should have been -- he finished second in the league last year with a 1.8% turnover worthy play rate. Trevon Diggs is a ball hawk, naturally, but I'm happy to take Brady to not throw a pick at dog odds whenever offered. 

    Jalen Tolbert o24.5 receiving yards -110 (Caesars): Tolbert should start the season as the #2 receiving option. Tolbert is playing in a game with a total of 50.5 and is projected at 36.6 yards. Take the over.

    Monday Night Football

    Jerry Jeudy u4.5 receptions +120 (DraftKings): I'm a big Jeudy fan, but I wouldn't be surprised if it takes him some time to mesh with new quarterback Russell Wilson. Juedy is projected right at 4.5, we would take dog odds on either side.

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