When analyzing projections from fantasy sites, you'll often find that the projections are higher than betting lines, which will make you bet shit tons of overs. This is a common mistake. The projections are mean based, while the betting lines are median. Mean projections tend to skew higher because the range of outcomes are not evenly distributed. (i.e., a running back on a good day could go for over 100 yards, but he would never go under 0... hopefully). If you find a mean projection lower than the Vegas line, the under is likely a good bet. To bet an over, the mean projection should be significantly higher. All bets below will follow that logic.
All recommended bets have a risk of 1 unit.
Sunday 1PM Slate
Dorian Thompson-Robinson o166.5 passing yards -110 (FanDuel)
Kyler Murray u241.5 passing yards -114 (FanDuel)
Aidan O'Connell o196.5 passing yards -115 (Bet365)
Raheem Mostert u54.5 rushing yards -114 (FanDuel)
Derrick Henry o55.5 rushing yards -106 (Caesars)
Josh Reynolds u30.5 receiving yards -110 (Bet365)
Dalton Schultz u50.5 receiving yards -110 (BetMGM)
CeeDee Lamb o6.5 receptions -105 (BetMGM)
Sunday 4PM Slate
Zach Charbonnet u28.5 rushing yards -110 (DraftKings)
Josh Allen u0.5 interceptions +135 (DraftKings)
Sunday Night Football
Javonte Williams u67.5 rushing yards -110 (Bet365)