The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how players will be utilized given game context. The player prop lines were taken from this site.
When analyzing projections from fantasy sites, you'll often find that the projections are higher than betting lines, which will make you bet shit tons of overs. This is a common mistake. The projections are mean based, while the betting lines are median. Mean projections tend to skew higher because the range of outcomes are not evenly distributed. (i.e., a running back on a good day could go for over 100 yards, but he would never go under 0... hopefully). If you find a mean projection lower than the Vegas line, the under is likely a good bet. To bet an over, the mean projection should be significantly higher. All bets below will follow that logic.
This article is for TNF only. The others will be posted tomorrow.
Buffalo @ Miami
Spread: MIA -2.5
FAT Spread: BUF -1.67
Tua Tagovailoa o33.5 passing attempts -100 (FanDuel): The Dolphins are slight favorites, but we believe they should actually be slight dogs. Either way, it should be a competitive game, and most projections have Tua over this number. Getting it at even money is especially important.