First and Thirty
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FIRST AND THIRTY

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    Sunday Prop Bets: Week 16

    · Brady,Prop Bets,Week 16 2021

    1PM Slate

    Keenan Allen o7.5 receptions +115 (DraftKings): This matches Allen's projection. Betting on somebody to light up the Texans defense is also enticing.

    Antonio Brown o6.5 receptions +120 (BetMGM): Brown is healthy and the clear top dog with Evans and Godwin out. This also matches his projection with dog odds.

    Matt Stafford o2.5 passing TDs +162 (FanDuel). With a game total of 48.5, plenty of points should be scored. I simply cannot pass on these odds. Stafford has gone over 2.5 TDs in 8/14 games.

    4PM Slate

    Damiere Byrd u2.5 receptions +135 (FanDuel): This matches Byrd's projection, so I'll take the dog odds on either side.

    Drew Lock does not throw an INT +155 (DraftKings): I'm as big of a Drew Lock hater as anybody, but I can't turn down these odds. We need Lock to not throw a pick 40% of the time for this to be +EV. The Broncos are a pick em against the Raiders, so the game environment doesn't necessarily project him to drop back more than the Broncos would prefer him to.

    Noah Fant u3.5 receptions +122 (FanDuel): This matches Fant's projections. As usual, I'll take whatever side has dog odds. It's usually the under.

    Sunday Night Football

    Terry McLaurin o59.5 receiving yards -110 (FanDuel): This one is a little more thin, but my favorite bet of all the SNF props. It falls shy of McLaurin's projection of 62.2.

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    MNF Betting Thoughts: Week 16
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