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    Prop Bets That Don't Suck: Week 11

    · Brady,Week 11 2021,Prop Bets

    The following are the prop bets I'm taking. I'm grabbing the lines here and the projections here. All lines confirmed at the time of posting (Sunday morning).

    Sunday 1PM slate

    Deebo Samuel o6.5 receptions +114 (FanDuel): This matches Samuel's projection, so I'm happy to take the juice. Samuel's 49ers are taking on the Jags, who are ranked 31st in pass defense DVOA. 

    AJ Dillon u3.5 receptions +120 (BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars): With Aaron Jones out, Dillon will certainly get more amplaying time than usual. However, his projection is at 2.6. This number is too high.

    Zack Moss u1.5 receptions +152 (FanDuel): This matches Moss's projection, and we're getting +152. 

    Tua Tagovailoa o6.5 rushing yards -120 (BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars): Tua's projection sits at 13.8. He's gone over this number in 3 of his last 4 games. 

    Johanathan Taylor u3.5 receptions +100 (Caesars, DraftKings): Taylor's projection is at 2.8. I'm happy to take the under at even money. Taylor has gone under 3.5 in 8/10 games this year.

    Sunday 4PM slate

    Byron Pringle u2.5 receptions +114 (FanDuel): Pringle is projected at 2 and we're getting plus money. Sign me up. Pringle is a receiver on the Chiefs, who are playing against the Cowboys. This is projected to be a high scoring affair (the total is at 56), be prepared to sweat.

    Sunday Night Football

    Keenan Allen o6.5 receptions -102 (FanDuel): Allen is projected around 7 catches. Allen's Chargers are taking on the Steelers. With Keenan running about 60% of his routes from the slot means he'll see a lot of Arthur Maulet in coverage, who has a PFF coverage grade of 50.4 and QBs have a 107.2 rating when targeting him. 

    Diontae Johnson o6.5 receptions +110 (Caesars): Johnson is projected at exactly 6.5 receptions. 

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