Some non-actionable thoughts:
-All four projection sources (PFF, FTN, FantasyPros, and 4for4) favor the Under on both Jayden Daniels (217.5 yards) and C.J. Stroud (251.5 yards). Daniels' Under probabilities range from 56% to 64%, while Stroud's range from 56% to 64%.
-There's considerable disagreement on Mason's Under 49.5 rushing yards. Three projection sources favor the Under, with probabilities between 56% and 60%. However, 4for4 puts the Under at just 43%.
-Stevenson's Under 54.5 presents a similar disagreement. PFF, FTN, and FantasyPros all give the Under a probability between 62% and 66%, while 4for4 has it at just 49%. Interestingly, the available sportsbook lines also vary, with some offering Under 55.5 at comparable or better odds.
-Honestly, I'll probably need to evaluate if these low receiving/rushing yardage props are worth posting, or if we should veto them moving forward.
-We're going after two Dolphins rushing under props - Malik Willis and Oliie Gordon. The Lions defense has been a dumpster fire, but they're much better against the run (9th in EPA allowed/play) than the pass (29th). The Dolphins are 7-point dogs and should be in pass-heavy situations.
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