First and Thirty
First and Thirty

FIRST AND THIRTY

  • Home
  • Power Rankings
  • DomModel
  • Results
  • …  
    • Home
    • Power Rankings
    • DomModel
    • Results
First and Thirty
First and Thirty

FIRST AND THIRTY

  • Home
  • Power Rankings
  • DomModel
  • Results
  • …  
    • Home
    • Power Rankings
    • DomModel
    • Results
First and Thirty

Week 3 Recap: We Lost Every Bet

· Recap,Week 3 2021,Brady

Welcome to the recap blog. Weekly results are a silly thing to track -- the small sample and high variance nature of the NFL makes them totally irrelevant. However, I do feel it's important to have an easy place to track all our bets, where we can easily see how we're performing over a larger sample size.

Kansas City (-6.5) @ LA Chargers

This felt like a good spot, getting the right side of the hook against the Chargers. It felt even better when the line moved to 7 later in the week. Then the damn Chiefs lost outright. At least you can laugh at the dummies who move the 1-2 Chiefs down their power rankings, because they think wins and losses are a good way to evaluate how good a team is.

Final score: LA Chargers 30, Kanas City 24 (lost 2 units)

Indianapolis (+5.5) @ Tennessee

Our gamble to take the Colts paid off when we learned (as we expected) that Carson Wentz would start. The line again shifted with the model, moving to 4.5 Indy was down just 1 after the third quarter, before allowing a Ryan Tannehill pass to Geoff Swaim and a field goal put things out of reach. The Colts last drive ended with a 51 yard missed field goal from Rodrigo Blankenship. At that point we needed a touchdown to cover anyhow.

Final score: Tennessee 25, Indianapolis 16 (lost 2 units)

Week 1: Jameis Preserves the Even Week (2-2, even)

Week 2: Thanks for Fumbling, Clyde (3-1, +4 units)

Week 3: We Lost Every Bet (0-2, -4 units)

Season total: 5-5, even

Previous
Recommended Wager: KC Chiefs (-6.5) over LA Chargers
Next
Recommended Wager: NY Jets (+7.0) over Tennessee
 Return to site
Cancel
All Posts
×

Almost done…

We just sent you an email. Please click the link in the email to confirm your subscription!

OK