With week 5 in the books, let's take a look at our prop bets to see how they did:
Sunday Morning
Isaiah Bond o25.5 receiving yds -130 → ✅ win (29 yards) → +0.77u
Sunday 1PM Slate
Jakobi Meyers u62.5 receiving yds -115 → ✅ win (32 yards) → +0.87u
Derrick Henry u19.5 rushing attempts -117 → ✅ win (15 attempts) → +0.85u
Jalen Hurts u42.5 rushing yds -115 → ✅ win (3 yards) → +0.87u
Tony Pollard u65.5 rushing yds -110 → ❌ loss (67 yards) → -1.00u
Bryce Young o11.5 rushing yds -120 → ❌ loss (1 yard) → -1.00u
Sunday 4PM Slate
Noah Fant u23.5 receiving yds -115 → ✅ win (0 yards) → +0.87u
Jake Browning u33.5 pass attempts -114 → ❌ loss (40 attempts) → -1.00u
Sunday Night Football
Kayshon Boutte o26.5 receiving yds -114 → ✅ win (43 yards) → +0.88u
Monday Night Football
Travis Etienne o61.5 rushing yds -118 → ❌ loss (49 yards) → -1.00u
Net Result: 6–4 → +1.11u
A few thoughts:
-There were a few close calls, with both Bond (o25.5) and Boutte (o26.5) catching 4th quarter balls to put themselves on the over. At the same time, we barely missed on Pollard (67 actual yards, we needed u65.5).
-Noah Fant ran 19 routes. He was not targeted once.
-Even with Lamar Jackson out, the Ravens weren't able to get Derrick Henry going. Their team is so grossly injured they're fielding a JV squad that found themselves constantly trailing.
-Jake Browning was terrible (hint: the Bengals just traded for Joe Flacco), but I probably should have passed on this one given the game-script. We'll do better next week.
Previous Recaps:
Week 1: The (Near) Perfect Week (9-0), +8.16 units
Week 2: Back to Reality (6-4), +1.79u
Week 3: A Small Loss (5-5), -0.78 units
Week 4: Cruising (8-2), +6.06u
Week 5 Recap: A Small Win (6-4), +1.11u
Season total: 34-17, +16.34 units
