First and Thirty’s Week 3 Power Ratings: Where the Market, PFF, FPI, and DVOA Agree — and Where They Don’t

We still aren't sure if Puka Nacua (hip/groin) will play week 3, while Myles Garrett remains on IR (knee). Even still, a convincing win against the Giants on Monday Night that saw Davante Adams put up a 10/195/2 line puts the Rams back at number 1. The uncertainty with Nucua is likely the cause of low agreement.

The widest gap between sources is 2.12 points.

Apparently beating up on Miami moves you up two spots in the power rankings. The NFC West is loaded.

The four sources span 3.28 points, from FPI at the high end to PFF at the low end.

It seems like forever ago, but the Bills had a convincing win at home on Thursday Night against the Lions. DJ Moore (shoulder) was injured last week, but has a chance to play this week.

Market is the low outlier on the Bills; the other three sources are within 0.89 points.

After a loss to the Saints, PFF/FPI/DAVE all moved the Ravens down in their rankings, but the market kept them at 2. We could potentially see Zay Flowers (hammy) return this week.

The four sources span 3.54 points, from Market at the high end to DAVE at the low end.

The Chiefs defense lost corners Trent McDuffie and Jaylon Watson to the Rams in free agency, so they traded up to draft Mansoor Delane 6th overall. Delane was injured week 1 and didn't play last week, and the Chiefs defense is still 8th in the NFL in EPA/play.

The four sources span 2.66 points, from Market at the high end to DAVE at the low end.

Even with Drew Lock playing, the Seahawks had no issues with the Cardinals. Darnold has a chance to return this week.

The four sources span 4.26 points, from PFF at the high end to Market at the low end.

The Eagles were down LG Landon Dickerson (hammy), and decided to move C Cam Jurgens to LG and slot Drew Kendall (2025 5th rounder) at center. Both played poorly. The good news is they could get free agent pick up EDGE Jonathan Greenard (pectoral) back this week.

The widest gap between sources is 1.60 points.

The Texans defense is sitting at 25th in EPA/play. Nico Collins is battling a hamstring injury. Things are not ideal.

The widest gap between sources is 1.89 points.

The Cowboys offense is 3rd in EPA/play. The defense is 31st. And neither of those things are surprising.

The four sources span 2.52 points, from FPI at the high end to PFF at the low end.

Bo Nix has 5 turnover worthy plays through 2 games and a negative EPA/play.

FPI is the low outlier on the Broncos; the other three sources are within 0.92 points.

Unsurprisingly, the Lions defense is struggling without Branch and Joseph.

Market is the low outlier on the Lions; the other three sources are within 0.60 points.

Parker Washington is unstoppable. Unfortunately, the rest of the Jags offense didn't show up against the Broncos.

The four sources span 2.97 points, from FPI at the high end to Market at the low end.

Dexter Lawrence looks like Dexter Lawrence again, and the Bengals defense appears better than they've been in quite some time.

All four sources are within 1.05 points.

Going into week 2, the Patriots were already down WR AJ Brown (high-ankle) and CB Carlton Davis (neck). Then they lost RG Mike Onwenu (season/ankle), Dre'Mont Jones (shoulder), TE Eli Raridon (thigh), and S Craig Woodson (shoulder) during their week 2 win against Pittsburgh.

The four sources span 4.81 points, from PFF at the high end to Market at the low end.

Brian Flores is blitzing and playing more zone defense than any team in the league by a wide margin. They're often crowding the line of scrimmage, making it confusing for opposing quarterbacks to know exactly where the pressure is coming from (they only know that it is fucking coming). Caleb Williams and the Bears were completely helpless.

The four sources span 3.25 points, from Market at the high end to DAVE at the low end.

The Packers started the season with games against Carson Wentz and the New York Jets. They needed overtime last week to not fall to 0-2. The offensive line is a problem.

The four sources span 3.67 points, from Market at the high end to DAVE at the low end.

The Colts defense is currently dead last in EPA/play. Both Charvarius Ward and Sauce Gardner are struggling. Something needs to be fixed, and fast.

The four sources span 3.09 points, from DAVE at the high end to PFF at the low end.

I'm sure we all wanted to see Baker Mayfield get revenge against the Browns, instead we see them allow Deshaun Watson to actually play good football. The offseason sits at 28th in EPA/play

PFF is the low outlier on the Buccaneers; the other three sources are within 0.94 points.

The Chargers started the year with games against the Cardinals and Raiders. They lost both convincingly. I have nothing nice to say.

The four sources span 3.45 points, from PFF at the high end to Market at the low end.

DAVE appears to be the only source not factoring in Caleb Williams (hammy) injury. Backup QB Tyson Bagent also suffered a concussion. It's likely we'll see Case Keenum this week, who is still a thing.

The four sources span 3.84 points, from DAVE at the high end to Market at the low end.

The Saints were 8.5-point dogs against Baltimore and won outright. Unsurprisingly, there's a large disagreement on where to slot them.

The sources are sharply divided on the Saints: the highest and lowest ratings are 5.43 points apart. Market is highest and DAVE is lowest.

The Panthers gave up 59 points to the Bears in week 1. They gave up 3 to the Falcons in week 2. SS Zakee Wheatley, a 5th round rookie out of Penn State, wasn't targeted once, had 3 tackles, a run stop, and a forced fumble.

Market is the low outlier on the Panthers; the other three sources are within 0.99 points.

Trey Tucker's deep ball abilities will lead to games like this, we saw it last year as well. While Mendoza waits for his chance, the Raiders are 2-0.

Market is the high outlier on the Raiders; the other three sources are within 0.73 points.

Aaron Rodgers looks like dust.

The four sources span 3.07 points, from PFF at the high end to Market at the low end.

And just like that, Jaxson Dart is out for the year.

The sources are sharply divided on the Giants: the highest and lowest ratings are 7.20 points apart. Market is highest and FPI is lowest.

The Jets defense is 5th in EPA/play. David Bailey has four pressure games in each game to start his career.

The widest gap between sources is 2.07 points.

Marvin Harrison Jr. this season: 4 targets, 1 catch, 33 yards. The window on his development is closing rapidly.

The four sources span 4.25 points, from DAVE at the high end to PFF at the low end.

DAVE doesn't seem to be factoring in Jayden Daniels's elbow injury, but he will not be playing.

The four sources span 4.70 points, from DAVE at the high end to Market at the low end.

Michael Penix Jr. is back, and people are apparently excited about it. Good for them.

The sources are sharply divided on the Falcons: the highest and lowest ratings are 6.38 points apart. Market is highest and DAVE is lowest.

The Titans offense is 27th in EPA/play. The defense is 5th. Jeffery Simmons is a monster.

The four sources span 3.24 points, from Market at the high end to PFF at the low end.

Watson's win against Tampa bought him at least one more week as starting quarterback.

The four sources span 2.74 points, from PFF at the high end to Market at the low end.

Just an all around disaster.

The widest gap between sources is 2.48 points.