Some thoughts:
-Overall a strong week, finishing 23-14.
-We hit some injury luck with DJ Moore (AC Joint) leaving the game in the 2nd quarter. He finished with zero yards.
-We took 5 unders on TNF, and that game finished with 71 total points (Bills 41, Lions 31). We finished 3-2 on that game. It's absurd that unders are still hitting even in these high scoring games.
-Bijan Robinson only finishing with 16 receiving yards feels quite lucky. The Panthers were in control the entire game, ultimately winning 34-3. That should have set up a pass-friendly environment.
-Caleb Williams going over his rushing prop wasn't terrible surprising to me. He had the Vikings this week, and Brian Flores is deploying absurd blitz rates. It creates an environment where scrambling becomes necessary, and I wonder if the projections didn't account for this in a way that they should have.
-Ryan Flournoy was the clear cut WR3 for Dallas in week 1, running a route on 28 of 41 dropbakcs. I was a little skeptical that he would go under 30.5 in that spot (total was 51), but I'm glad I stuck with the model.
-I don't care if it lost, I hope the model picks Cam Skatteboo to go over every week.
