Week 3 Prop Results

· Recap,Prop Bets,Week 3 2026

Our week 3 results and season to date stats are below. Some thoughts:

-We got crushed in the Houston/Indy game, going 1-4 across 5 bets. Nothing really sticks out to me as crazy (it was a 19-17 battle that ended in Indy's favor). We were just on the wrong side of some of those bets.
-We hit a Kenneth Walker under. I'm stunned.

-Our days of betting Jeremiyah Love over's might be done for. He is clearly over the high-ankle sprain he suffered in the preseason, earing 21/23 RB carries in Sunday's 36-30 loss to the 49ers. Keep in mind the Cardinals backup running back is Tyler Allgeier, who earned a 2 year, 12.5 million dollar contract this offseason. His number will be significantly higher going forward, and I wouldn't be surprised if the model passes on it. Time will tell.
-I wrote in the preview blog that Kyren Williams was in a 50/50 timeshare with Blake Corum, but figured Williams would take over since he's clearly been the better back. That happened Sunday Night - Williams had 15 carries to Corum's 6. Kyren hit his over in the 2nd quarter.
-We had a few tough losses: We had Tre Tucker's under at 40.5 and he finished with 43. Croskey-Merritt had 36 rushing yards, missing out on his 40.5 number. There's some bigger losses too, but I'm going to ignore those.

-We narrowly had our first losing week of the season, but we're still sitting at 52-36 overall.

WEEK 3 RESULTS

FINAL

Week To Date

11-12Record
-2.20uUnits
-9.6%ROI
0Pending
1Voids

Season To Date

52-36Record
+10.30uUnits
+11.7%ROI
0Pending
2Voids

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers

Christian Watson · WR
UNDER 72.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Actual: 96
LOSS
-1.00u

SUNDAY 1:00 PM

Carolina Panthers @ Cleveland Browns

Chuba Hubbard · RB
UNDER 71.5 RB RUSHING YARDS
Actual: 82
LOSS
-1.00u
Bryce Young · QB
UNDER 14.5 QB RUSHING YARDS
Actual: 0
WIN
+0.94u
Deshaun Watson · QB
UNDER 27.5 QB RUSHING YARDS
Actual: 45
LOSS
-1.00u
Denzel Boston · WR
UNDER 48.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Actual: 41
WIN
+0.88u
Xavier Legette · WR
OVER 11.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Inactive
NO ACTION
+0.00u

Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts

Daniel Jones · QB
UNDER 223.5 PASSING YARDS
Actual: 235
LOSS
-1.00u
David Montgomery · RB
OVER 46.5 RB RUSHING YARDS
Actual: 33
LOSS
-1.00u
Jonathan Taylor · RB
UNDER 21.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Actual: 4
WIN
+0.88u
Tyler Warren · TE
UNDER 46.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Actual: 55
LOSS
-1.00u
Xavier Hutchinson · WR
UNDER 40.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Actual: 51
LOSS
-1.00u

Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins

Kenneth Walker III · RB
UNDER 86.5 RB RUSHING YARDS
Actual: 70
WIN
+0.89u
Malik Willis · QB
UNDER 34.5 QB RUSHING YARDS
Actual: 56
LOSS
-1.00u

New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Bhayshul Tuten · RB
UNDER 53.5 RB RUSHING YARDS
Actual: 73
LOSS
-1.00u

Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders

Jacory Croskey-Merritt · RB
OVER 40.5 RB RUSHING YARDS
Actual: 36
LOSS
-1.00u

Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants

Jameis Winston · QB
OVER 6.5 QB RUSHING YARDS
Actual: 14
WIN
+0.83u

SUNDAY LATE AFTERNOON

Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers

Jeremiyah Love · RB
OVER 38.5 RB RUSHING YARDS
Actual: 90
WIN
+0.91u

Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield · QB
UNDER 16.5 QB RUSHING YARDS
Actual: 6
WIN
+0.92u

Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys

Lamar Jackson · QB
UNDER 239.5 PASSING YARDS
Actual: 186
WIN
+0.88u
Dak Prescott · QB
UNDER 12.5 QB RUSHING YARDS
Actual: 19
LOSS
-1.00u

Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints

Devaughn Vele · WR
UNDER 49.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Actual: 39
WIN
+0.88u
Tre Tucker · WR
UNDER 40.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Actual: 43
LOSS
-1.00u

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Los Angeles Rams @ Denver Broncos

Kyren Williams · RB
OVER 51.5 RB RUSHING YARDS
Actual: 88
WIN
+0.89u
Bo Nix · QB
UNDER 17.5 QB RUSHING YARDS
Actual: 7
WIN
+0.90u
Results are graded against the line and price published on the original card. Pending games are updated after completion. Last graded: 2026-09-28T12:12:20.828262+00:00