·
Some thoughts:
-We continue to pick on UDFA rookie Jalon Daniels. 43.5 does feel quite high for a rushing prop.
-Jalen Hurts's rushing yardage doesn't seem quite high, but the model is on his under anyway. He lost two starters on the offensive line this week, Lane Johnson to retirement and Cam Jurgens to a trade with the Cowboys.
-We were on Ollie Gordon's over last week at 29.5 yards. Now we're on his under at 45.5. I can confidentially say that something was wrong with the numbers shifting over 15 yards in one week.
-We were on Kyren Williams's over in back to back weeks. Both hits. The model thinks the market overcorrected for Kyren's role, and now we're on Blake Corum's over.
WEEK 5 PLAYER PROPS
Reviewed plays from First & Thirty
25Total Plays
6Overs
19Unders
25Model Picks
0F&T Picks
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
Thursday · 8:15 PM ET
Rushing Yards - QB
Jalon Daniels · QB
Under 43.5
FanDuel · -113
3 of 4 models
Receiving Yards
Ted Hurst III · WR
Over 15.5
DraftKings · -114
4 of 4 models
SUNDAY 1:00 PM
Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday · 9:30 AM ET
Rushing Yards - QB
Jalen Hurts · QB
Under 26.5
DraftKings · -111
3 of 4 models
Receiving Yards
Jakobi Meyers · WR
Under 42.5
DraftKings · -111
4 of 4 models
Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins
Sunday · 1:00 PM ET
Passing Yards
Malik Willis · QB
Under 192.5
FanDuel · -114
3 of 4 models
Rushing Yards - QB
Malik Willis · QB
Under 33.5
DraftKings · -112
4 of 4 models
Rushing Yards - RB
Chase Brown · RB
Under 67.5
FanDuel · -114
3 of 4 models
Ollie Gordon II · RB
Under 45.5
Fanatics · -120
3 of 4 models
Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets
Sunday · 1:00 PM ET
Passing Yards
Deshaun Watson · QB
Under 204.5
DraftKings · -112
4 of 4 models
Rushing Yards - RB
Braelon Allen · RB
Under 73.5
DraftKings · -113
4 of 4 models
Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday · 1:00 PM ET
Rushing Yards - RB
Jaylen Warren · RB
Over 64.5
FanDuel · -114
3 of 4 models
Receiving Yards
Josh Downs · WR
Under 58.5
FanDuel · -114
4 of 4 models
Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints
Sunday · 1:00 PM ET
Passing Yards
Kyler Murray · QB
Under 214.5
DraftKings · -113
4 of 4 models
Rushing Yards - QB
Kyler Murray · QB
Over 15.5
Fanatics · -140
3 of 4 models
Tyler Shough · QB
Over 9.5
FanDuel · -114
3 of 4 models
Receiving Yards
Chris Olave · WR
Under 81.5
FanDuel · -114
4 of 4 models
New York Giants @ Washington Commanders
Sunday · 1:00 PM ET
Rushing Yards - RB
Jacory Croskey-Merritt · RB
Under 56.5
DraftKings · -111
3 of 4 models
SUNDAY LATE AFTERNOON
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers
Sunday · 4:05 PM ET
Passing Yards
Bo Nix · QB
Under 223.5
FanDuel · -114
4 of 4 models
Rushing Yards - QB
Justin Herbert · QB
Under 26.5
DraftKings · -113
3 of 4 models
Rushing Yards - RB
Omarion Hampton · RB
Over 38.5
DraftKings · -112
3 of 4 models
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks
Sunday · 4:25 PM ET
Rushing Yards - QB
Brock Purdy · QB
Under 19.5
DraftKings · -113
3 of 4 models
Receiving Yards
George Holani · RB
Under 9.5
FanDuel · -114
4 of 4 models
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams
Monday · 8:15 PM ET
Passing Yards
Josh Allen · QB
Under 245.5
DraftKings · -113
4 of 4 models
Rushing Yards - QB
Josh Allen · QB
Under 36.5
DraftKings · -109
3 of 4 models
Rushing Yards - RB
Blake Corum · RB
Over 30.5
Fanatics · -120
4 of 4 models
Lines and prices shown are from the frozen Week 5 reviewed snapshot and may have changed. For informational purposes only. Last updated: 2026-10-08T19:20:15.182691+00:00
