Week 8 Prop Bet Scorecard
Sunday 1PM Slate
George Kittle u4.5 receptions +112 (FanDuel) → ✅ win (4 catches) → +1.12u
Dalton Schultz u45.5 receiving yards -114 (FanDuel) → ✅ win (24 yards) → +0.88u
Derrick Henry u18.5 rushing attempts -110 (BetMGM) → ❌ loss (21 carries) → -1.00u
Lamar Jackson o27.5 rushing yards -114 (FanDuel) → ⚈ void (DNP) → 0.00u
Dallas Goedert u48.5 receiving yards -113 (DraftKings) → ✅ win (28 yards) → +0.88u
Saquon Barkley u81.5 rushing yards -110 (BetMGM) → ❌ loss (150 yards) → -1.00u
Bijan Robinson o35.5 receiving yards -114 (FD/DK) → ❌ loss (23 yards) → -1.00u
Sunday Night Football
Aaron Rodgers u0.5 interceptions -110 (DraftKings) → ✅ win (0 INT) → +0.91u
Monday Night Football
Isiah Pacheco u52.5 rushing yards -110 (BetMGM) → ✅ win (58 yards) → +0.91u
Jacory Croskey-Merritt o44.5 rushing yards -110 (BetMGM) → ❌ loss (25 yards) → -1.00u
Net Result: 5–4 → +0.70u
-George Kittle had 4 targets and caught all 4 balls. Solid value at dog odds against a Texans defense that is first in pass defense DVOA (and 3rd against tight ends)
-Dalton Schultz had just 3 targets and caught 2 balls for 24 yards.
-On Derrick Henry's carry total, we had some luck with Lamar Jackson being ruled out - the QB has a massive impact on the run game since running the football happens more when you're winning. It didn't matter - the Ravens won anyway and Henry got plenty of work.
-As mentioned above, Lamar Jackson did not play, so the bet voids.
-Even without AJ Brown, the Eagles were unable to get Dallas Goedert going in the pass game - he caught all 3 of his targets for 28 yards, but 2 of them were touchdowns.
-The same was NOT true for Saquon Barkley, who ripped a 64 yard touchdown on the 2nd damn play of the game. He only had 14 attempts, but finished with 150 yards (10.7 YPC). Brutal.
-Even with geriatric Kirk Cousins under center, it was stunning that the Falcons struggled against the Dolphins on defense, who ranked 31st in defensive DVOA going in. Bijan Robinson was useless in both the pass and run game. Oh, and he also fumbled.
-Aaron Rodgers revenge game against the Packers? Of course he's not putting the ball in harm's way. He had 0 picks and 0 turnover worthy plays.
-Despite splitting carries with Kareem Hunt (9 carries) and Brashard Smith (3), Isiah Pacheco had plenty of work to hit his number. He finished with 12 carries for 58 yards (4.8 average)
-On the other side, Jacory Croskey-Merritt had 9 carries, but gained just 25 yards, a pittful 2.8 average.
Previous Recaps:
Week 1: The (Near) Perfect Week (9-0), +8.16 units
Week 2: Back to Reality (6-4), +1.79u
Week 3: A Small Loss (5-5), -0.78 units
Week 4: Cruising (8-2), +6.06u
Week 5: A Small Win (6-4), +1.11u
Week 6: Sweating Every Yard (7-3) +3.28 units
Week 7: Vig Takes the W (5-5), -0.53u
Week 8: Win Some/Lose Some (5-4), +0.7 units
Season total: 51-29, +19.79 units
