Welcome to the recap blog. Weekly results are a silly thing to track -- the small sample and high variance nature of the NFL makes them totally irrelevant. However, it's always fun looking back at how the games went, and I like to see where we had closing line value. For a more technical overview of our results, check the results page.
Cleveland @ Houston (+2.5)
Line closed: CLE -2.5, line remained the same
The Browns defense no-show'd. CJ Stroud and Nico Collins are very good.
Final score: Houston 45, Cleveland 14
Result: WIN
Miami (+4.0) @ Kanasas City
Line closed: KC -4.5, line moved away from the model
The Dolphins offense stunk.
Final score: Kansas City 26, Miami 7
Result: LOSS
Pittsburgh (+10.0) @ Buffalo
Line closed: BUF -10.0, line stayed the same
Some nasty weather in Buffalo likely added to their home field advantage. The Steelers never stood a chance. Reminder: Mason Rudolph sucks.
Final score: Buffalo 31, Pittsburgh 17
Result: LOSS
Green Bay (+7.5) @ Dallas
Line closed: GB -7.0, line moved toward the model
We should have bet the moneyline.
Final score: Green Bay 48, Dallas 32
Result: WIN
Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay (+3.0)
Line closed: PHI -2.5, line moved toward the model
We should have bet the moneyline, part 2. The Eagles defense took a massive downswing this year, and it showed.
Final score: Tampa 32, Philly 9
Result: WIN
ATS recap: 3-2, with some solid line movements going in our direction (7.5 -> 7.0, 3.0 -> 2.5)
Props recap:
Final tally: 3-6, -2.88 units
Previous Recaps:
Week 1 Recap: That's How You Start the Year
Week 2 Recap: Head Coach ATS Record Matters
Week 3 Recap: The Tanking Cardinals are ATS Gods
Week 4 Recap: Mahomes Slides, Ertz Can't Catch
Week 5 Recap: Another Even Week
Week 6 Recap: Our First Losing Week
Week 7 Recap: We Bet One Game. We Lost One Game
Week 8 Recap: We Bet Three Games. We Lost Three Games
Week 9 Recap: Trust the Fucking Process
Week 10 Recap: Continue Trusting the Fucking Process
Week 11 Recap: I Hope You Trusted the Fucking Process
Week 12 Recap: No Extra Points In Overtime
Week 13 Recap: Jake Browning Fucks
Week 14 Recap: Monday Madness Decides Our Fate
Week 15 Recap: The Cowboys Sucked
Week 16 Recap: The Raiders Defense Sneaky Doesn't Suck
Week 17 Recap: One Win, One Loss, One Push
Week 18 Recap: We're Onto the Playoff
Sides record:
Week 1: 5-1
Week 2: 3-3
Week 3: 2-1
Week 4: 3-3
Week 5: 1-1
Week 6: 1-2
Week 7: 0-1
Week 8: 0-3
Week 9: 0-2
Week 10: 0-2
Week 11: 5-1
Weel 12: 2-3
Week 13: 2-2
Week 14: 2-2
Week 15: 1-2
Week 16: 3-3
Week 17: 1-1-1
Week 18: 0-3
Wildcard: 3-2
Total: 34-38-1
Props Record
Week 1: 5-3, +1.43 units
Week 2: 5-5, -0.29 units
Week 3: 4-5, -0.52 units
Week 4: 6-4, +2.94 units
Week 5: 4-5, -1.4 units
Week 6: 5-5, -0.24 units
Week 7: 7-4, +3.98 units
Week 8: 5-5, -0.24 units
Week 9: 7-5, +1.95 units
Week 10: 5-5, -0.38 units
Week 11: 5-6, -1.53 units
Week 12: 6-8, -1.99 units
Week 13: 5-6 -1.21 units
Week 14: 5-7, -2.54 units
Week 15: 3-10, -7.10 units
Week 16: 5-4, +0.66 units
Week 17: 5-7, -2.42 units
Week 18: 4-5, -1.27 units
Wildcard: 3-6, -2.88 units
Total: 94-105, -13.05 units