All Categories - First and Thirty

DomModel is officially live for Week 5. As discussed here, the model identifies games where its...

Some non-actionable thoughts: -Wee 4 finished 14-15 for -2.61 units and a -9.0% ROI, dropping the...

Week 4 Recap Week Record: 2-1-0 Season Record: 7-7-0 ❌ BUF -6.5 — LOSS Patriots 29, Bills 26 My...

My prop bet card for week 4 is below. This is a data driven process with manual review. If you're...

DomModel is officially live for Week 4. As discussed here, the model identifies games where its...

Our week 3 results and season to date stats are below. Some thoughts: -We got crushed in the...

Week 3 Recap Week Record: 2-1-0 Season Record: 5-6-0 ❌ TB +1.5 — LOSS Vikings 23, Buccaneers 16...

My prop bet card for week 3 is below. This is a data driven process with manual review. If you're...

WEEK 3 RECOMMENDATIONSDomModel is officially live for Week 3. As discussed here, the model...

Some thoughts: -Overall a strong week, finishing 23-14. -We hit some injury luck with DJ Moore ...

Week 2 Recap Week Record: 1-2-0 Season Record: 3-5-0 ❌ BAL -8.5 — LOSS Saints 24, Ravens 17 My...

My prop bet card for week 2 is below. If you're curious about the process, read this article.

DomModel is officially live for Week 2. As discussed here, the model identifies games where its...

Week 1 Recap Week Record: 2-3-0 Season Record: 2-3-0 ❌ LIONS -6.5 — LOSS Saints 30, Lions 31 I...

My prop bet card for week 1 is below. If you're curious about the process, read this article.

How the First & Thirty Player Prop Model Works We’ve spent a good chunk of the offseason building...