All Categories - First and Thirty
September 10, 2026 ·
My prop bet card for week 1 is below. If you're curious about the process, read this article.
September 10, 2026 ·
How the First & Thirty Player Prop Model Works We’ve spent a good chunk of the offseason building...
September 9, 2026 ·
DomModel is officially live for Week 1. As discussed here, the model identifies games where its...
September 9, 2026
DomModel is back. After a brief one-year hiatus, DomModel returns for the 2026 NFL season with...
February 18, 2026
It always annoyed me that I couldn't find a resource that showed an offseason team-by-team break...
February 6, 2026 ·
The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...
January 23, 2026 ·
The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...
January 16, 2026 ·
The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...
January 9, 2026 ·
The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...
January 2, 2026 ·
The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...
December 5, 2025 ·
The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...
December 1, 2025 ·
I unfortunately only got prop bets out for the Thanksgiving/random ass Black Friday game this...
November 26, 2025 ·
The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...
November 26, 2025 ·
Below is an undisputed, accurate ranking of current NFL teams. The rankings are meant to be...
November 25, 2025 ·
Week 12 Prop Bet ResultsSunday 1PM Slate Mason Taylor u34.5 receiving yards -114 (BetMGM) → ✅ win...
November 21, 2025 ·
The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...
November 21, 2025 ·
Below is an undisputed, accurate ranking of current NFL teams. The rankings are meant to be...
November 21, 2025 ·
Week 11 Prop Bet ResultsSunday Morning Slate Jacory Croskey-Merritt u32.5 rushing yards -111 ...
November 14, 2025 ·
The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...