All Categories - First and Thirty

DomModel is officially live for Week 1. As discussed here, the model identifies games where its...

Week 1 Recap Week Record: 2-3-0 Season Record: 2-3-0 ❌ LIONS -6.5 — LOSS Saints 30, Lions 31 I...

My prop bet card for week 1 is below. If you're curious about the process, read this article.

How the First & Thirty Player Prop Model Works We’ve spent a good chunk of the offseason building...

DomModel is officially live for Week 1. As discussed here, the model identifies games where its...

DomModel is back. After a brief one-year hiatus, DomModel returns for the 2026 NFL season with...

It always annoyed me that I couldn't find a resource that showed an offseason team-by-team break...

The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...

The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...

The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...

The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...

The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...

The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...

I unfortunately only got prop bets out for the Thanksgiving/random ass Black Friday game this...

The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...

Below is an undisputed, accurate ranking of current NFL teams. The rankings are meant to be...

Week 12 Prop Bet ResultsSunday 1PM Slate Mason Taylor u34.5 receiving yards -114 (BetMGM) → ✅ win...