All Categories - First and Thirty

My prop bet card for week 2 is below. If you're curious about the process, read this article.

DomModel is officially live for Week 2. As discussed here, the model identifies games where its...

Week 1 Recap Week Record: 2-3-0 Season Record: 2-3-0 ❌ LIONS -6.5 — LOSS Saints 30, Lions 31 I...

My prop bet card for week 1 is below. If you're curious about the process, read this article.

How the First & Thirty Player Prop Model Works We’ve spent a good chunk of the offseason building...

DomModel is officially live for Week 1. As discussed here, the model identifies games where its...

DomModel is back. After a brief one-year hiatus, DomModel returns for the 2026 NFL season with...

It always annoyed me that I couldn't find a resource that showed an offseason team-by-team break...

The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...

The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...

The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...

The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...

The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...

The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...

I unfortunately only got prop bets out for the Thanksgiving/random ass Black Friday game this...

The bets are determined by checking a wide variety of projections against my own knowledge of how...

Below is an undisputed, accurate ranking of current NFL teams. The rankings are meant to be...